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Reproducible cross-workload cost-efficiency analysis for agentic AI using public HAL leaderboard data

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Does Cost-Efficiency Travel?

A fixed-scaffold analysis of public HAL data finds that model-configuration accuracy ranks often transfer across workloads more consistently than dollar-cost ranks; frontier membership is correspondingly unstable.

A configuration that is comparatively inexpensive on one agent benchmark cannot safely be assumed to remain inexpensive—or cost-efficient—on another workload. Under standard weak Pareto membership, no broadly tested configuration appears on the frontier in more than 4 of 6 evaluated primary-cohort workloads.

Working paper title: Does Cost-Efficiency Travel? Accuracy and Cost Rank Transfer in Fixed-Scaffold Agent Evaluation

Research question

When the publicly displayed agent scaffold is held fixed, how stable are repeated HAL displayed model labels' accuracy, dollar-cost, and accuracy--cost frontier positions across agent workloads?

The study deliberately avoids a causal decomposition of model, scaffold, and workload effects. The public HAL snapshot has sparse and unbalanced scaffold-by-benchmark coverage; most scaffolds appear on only one benchmark. The primary cohort therefore fixes the scaffold to HAL Generalist Agent and analyzes the six benchmarks with adequate pairwise model overlap:

  • CORE-Bench Hard
  • GAIA
  • SciCode
  • ScienceAgentBench
  • SWE-bench Verified Mini
  • TAU-bench Airline

Reproduce

python3 -m pip install --user -r requirements.txt
python3 -m pytest -q
python3 scripts/run_analysis.py --bootstrap 5000

Outputs are written to outputs/tables/ and outputs/figures/.

The pipeline uses a frozen local copy of all_leaderboards_costs_HAL.csv. Exact upstream provenance, source license record, content hash, and re-acquisition instructions are in data/SOURCE_MANIFEST.md; the default pipeline verifies the expected local SHA-256 before analysis.

f8a07cbe6aae2801f592df3db7432a91c32a3de63dcf3ac4e0b5896bd34731f0

See data/SOURCE_MANIFEST.md for exact upstream provenance, acquisition instructions, and redistribution considerations.

Method

For each pair of benchmarks sharing at least five model configurations, the pipeline reports:

  • Spearman (\rho) and Kendall (\tau_b) for accuracy ranks;
  • Spearman (\rho) and Kendall (\tau_b) for total-dollar-cost ranks;
  • percentile-bootstrap intervals over shared configurations;
  • Jaccard similarity of frontier sets.

Bootstrap intervals are percentile configuration-resampling sensitivity intervals over the finite shared set of named HAL display labels. They are neither rollout-level intervals nor population-model confidence intervals; because nearly all CSV rows represent one run, they should not be used for null-hypothesis decisions.

Two frontier definitions

The repository computes and reports both definitions because they answer different deployment questions:

  1. Nondominated Pareto frontier: no observed discrete configuration achieves at least the same accuracy at no greater cost, with one inequality strict.
  2. HAL-inspired convex-hull reconstruction: adds the origin and retains the upper cost--accuracy convex envelope. This has a randomized-policy interpretation: a point can be excluded if a mixture of two configurations dominates it in expected cost and accuracy. It is a reconstruction based on public reference code, not an asserted exact reproduction; two source-label discrepancies remain in this frozen snapshot.

The outputs/tables/pareto_label_reproducibility.csv audit compares both reconstructions with the source CSV's Is Pareto labels.

Repository layout

src/analysis.py                  Core Pareto, correlation, and bootstrap routines
tests/                           Unit and source-data regression tests
scripts/run_analysis.py          End-to-end reproducible pipeline
data/                            Source-data provenance and frozen analysis input
outputs/tables/                  Generated analysis tables
outputs/figures/                 Generated publication figures

Primary sources and acknowledgments

This research is a secondary analysis of public results. It relies on and should cite:

Related work includes AI Agents That Matter, SWE-Effi, and Benchmark². This repository's cross-workload analysis is distinct from within-benchmark task-subset ranking preservation.

Limits

  • The 242-row public snapshot is sparse across scaffold × benchmark combinations.
  • 235 rows are single-run evaluations; only seven have two runs.
  • Dollar cost combines token behavior with pricing assumptions and model release/configuration.
  • The supplied CSV lacks total-token columns, so dollar-vs-token robustness requires raw HAL traces or databases.
  • Findings describe this HAL snapshot and should not be generalized to all models, agent frameworks, or workloads.

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Reproducible cross-workload cost-efficiency analysis for agentic AI using public HAL leaderboard data

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